Shin Dauda Lawal Zai Koma APC? Yanayi Mara Tabbas A Zamfara!

A kwanakin baya-bayan nan, rahotanni daga kafofin watsa labarai sun fara nuna cewa gwamnan jihar Zamfara, Dauda Lawal, na duba yiwuwar sauya sheƙa daga jam’iyyar Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) zuwa jam’iyyar All Progressives Congress (APC). Wannan batu ya jawo muhawara mai zafi a siyasar jihar Zamfara da ma Najeriya baki ɗaya. 

Ko da yake har yanzu babu sanarwa ta hukuma kan sauyin sheƙar, rahotanni sun nuna cewa matsin lamba daga ‘yan siyasa da kuma rikicin cikin gida na PDP na iya sa gwamnan ya sake duba matsayinsa. 

Dalilan da ke iya sa Gwamnan ya koma APC
Masu nazarin siyasa sun bayyana wasu manyan dalilai da ka iya janyo wannan sauyin sheƙa:
1. Rikicin cikin gida na PDP
A halin yanzu, PDP na fuskantar rikici mai tsanani kan shugabanci da kuma halaccin wasu tarukan jam’iyyar. Ana jiran hukuncin kotun daukaka kara kan wannan rikicin, wanda ake ganin zai iya shafar makomar siyasar gwamnan. 

2. Bukatar kusanci da gwamnatin tarayya
Gwamnan ya taba nuna cewa Zamfara ba ta samu wasu tallafi daga gwamnatin tarayya ba tun bayan hawansa mulki a 2023. Wannan ya sa wasu ke ganin shiga jam’iyyar mai mulki na iya kawo sauƙi wajen samun tallafi da ayyukan ci gaba. 

3. Sauyin sheƙa na jiga-jigan siyasa a jihar
A watannin baya, wasu manyan ‘yan siyasa da masu ruwa da tsaki a Zamfara sun bar PDP zuwa APC, lamarin da ya kara jefa jam’iyyar cikin rauni a jihar. 

Tasirin da wannan sauyi zai iya haifarwa
Idan har gwamnan ya sauya sheƙa zuwa APC, hakan na iya haifar da manyan sauye-sauye a siyasar Zamfara da Najeriya.
1. Karuwar karfin APC a Arewa maso Yamma
Sauyin gwamna daga PDP zuwa APC zai kara karfafa jam’iyyar mai mulki a yankin Arewa maso Yamma, musamman yayin da ake shirin zaben 2027.

2. Kara raunana PDP
PDP na iya kara shiga matsala idan daya daga cikin gwamnoninta ya sauya sheƙa. Tuni wasu ‘yan siyasa suka yi gargadin cewa yawaitar sauya jam’iyya na iya rage karfin adawa a Najeriya. 

3. Rikici a cikin APC ta Zamfara
Shigowar gwamnan APC na iya jawo rikici a cikin jam’iyyar a jihar, musamman saboda tsohon gwamnan jihar kuma ministan tsaro na kasa, Bello Matawalle, shi ne babban jagoran APC a Zamfara.

Tasirin ga zaben 2027
Masana siyasa na ganin cewa wannan lamari na iya zama wani bangare na shirin siyasar 2027. A Najeriya, sauya sheƙa kafin babban zabe abu ne da aka saba gani domin karfafa matsayi ko samun kariya ta siyasa.

Idan gwamnan Zamfara ya shiga APC, hakan na iya sauya tsarin siyasar jihar baki ɗaya, domin zai iya jawo wasu ‘yan majalisa, shugabannin kananan hukumomi da magoya baya su bi sahunsa.

A Takaice
Yiwuwar sauya sheƙar gwamnan Zamfara, Dauda Lawal, na daga cikin manyan abubuwan da ke jan hankali a siyasar Najeriya a yanzu. Duk da cewa har yanzu ba a tabbatar da hakan ba, matakan tuntuba da ake yi da kuma yanayin rikicin cikin PDP na nuna cewa makomar siyasar Zamfara na iya canzawa nan gaba kadan.

Idan hakan ta faru, ba Zamfara kadai ba, har ma da tsarin siyasar Najeriya gaba ɗaya zai iya fuskantar sabon salo yayin da ake tunkarar zaben 2027.

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